随着冲突的长期化和外交解决路径的失效，海湾国家可能会在配合美国打击的同时，加速与俄罗斯等外部力量的沟通，以平衡伊朗政权更迭带来的溢出效应。中东的下一阶段，将不再由某一个超级大国定义的秩序主导，而是在军事高压、能源危机与政权存续之间反复震荡的混战状态，这种局势的演化，不仅取决于特朗普的心愿，更取决于伊朗在废墟中重建政治意志的速度。
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